Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 75478.397570 79723.287811 83970.646312 88536.319873 93302.271710 98127.457184 103378.815613
2026-02-01 67819.042536 74227.948730 80822.698774 88106.571681 95916.638403 104030.146973 113086.668297
2026-02-08 62990.596042 70909.683598 79239.673612 88636.069685 98921.121836 109817.203355 122213.784839
2026-02-15 58846.663257 67844.713020 77487.124687 88557.519297 100883.916843 114154.846803 129490.107164
2026-02-22 56319.472157 66281.652244 77128.956539 89771.386393 104053.421118 119639.589772 137885.783059
2026-03-01 53937.674397 64677.511548 76541.765717 90557.785306 106597.748722 124314.348660 145294.038254
2026-03-08 51343.179119 62659.695580 75331.489235 90491.418069 108049.669044 127659.531085 151126.857713
2026-03-15 49277.971019 61128.622394 74565.636852 90828.319604 109871.231541 131354.778171 157310.423165
2026-03-22 48108.374261 60568.283874 74857.046295 92331.903231 112996.048031 136519.247520 165180.623887
2026-03-29 46819.734575 59790.858889 74828.192700 93402.372586 115572.098043 141024.711611 172285.086784
2026-04-05 45454.489913 58851.961833 74547.001071 94119.622264 117690.114199 144970.938978 178731.017819
2026-04-12 43806.087680 57497.073422 73702.841679 94103.277435 118886.169280 147797.975278 183840.681909
2026-04-19 42318.014951 56302.247175 73025.788077 94274.215523 120309.733851 150918.896048 189352.576810
2026-04-26 40766.710274 54973.495387 72136.633817 94143.976862 121337.591162 153551.359124 194284.051246
2026-05-03 39687.516910 54196.575955 71891.815603 94775.124099 123272.579989 157267.575519 200530.224885
2026-05-10 38343.079735 53031.851113 71118.369944 94708.278946 124315.990821 159882.466583 205435.841668
2026-05-17 37708.520151 52753.571044 71437.976978 95993.959540 127028.750247 164540.353128 212857.566726
2026-05-24 36906.796113 52226.249204 71414.803179 96825.277534 129161.874042 168486.414280 219422.341055
2026-05-31 35749.545386 51192.932661 70708.700129 96755.372284 130137.003853 170987.335318 224202.373713
2026-06-07 34836.688213 50452.833850 70353.513146 97111.192292 131633.758704 174129.745581 229785.672545
2026-06-14 34492.766008 50458.562140 70956.912176 98698.876450 134702.323966 179250.881590 237869.194656
2026-06-21 33977.869237 50213.708498 71216.457240 99829.058575 137182.599807 183642.025123 245062.372156
2026-06-28 33336.286132 49774.675212 71201.650147 100586.244451 139175.601189 187421.624314 251503.284024